Spatial Overlap in Measuring Support for Anti-Immigrant Parties

Authors: Jenny Berggren*, University of North Carolina - Greensboro
Topics: Political Geography, Europe, Quantitative Methods
Keywords: Elections, Sweden, immigration
Session Type: Poster
Day: 4/12/2018
Start / End Time: 5:20 PM / 7:00 PM
Room: Napoleon Foyer/Common St. Corridor, Sheraton, 3rd Floor
Presentation File: No File Uploaded

Anti-immigrant and populist parties in Europe have recently surged, capturing surprising electoral victories. In 2018, Swedish voters may choose to follow this trend when they elect Parliamentary representatives. A robust minority of the electorate supports the Sweden Democrats (Sverigedemokraterna, SD), a far-right party running on an anti-immigrant, anti-multicultural platform. Multiple and recent polls indicate that support hovers between 14 and 20 percent. In their persistence, SD differs substantially from a previous populist, anti-immigrant party, Ny Demokrati, which met the threshold for Parliamentary inclusion in 1991 but was unable to meet it at the next election in 1994. This research builds on previous work, which examined spatial overlaps between areas voting for Ny Demokrati in 1991 and for Sverigedemokraterna in 2014. A finer set of measures of coincidence and congruence are indicated and here deployed. Results and implications for future research are discussed.

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