Global change risk of population and economic systems: Mechanisms and assessments

Type: Lightning Paper
Theme:
Sponsor Groups:
Poster #:
Day: 4/6/2019
Start / End Time: 8:00 AM / 9:40 AM
Room: Marshall North, Marriott, Mezzanine Level
Organizers: Peijun Shi, Laixiang Sun
Chairs: Peijun Shi

Description

Global climate change associated with human-induced warming has created serious challenges to sustainable development and human security around the world. There has been growing literature trying to evaluate the global change related risks to population and economic development by jointly consider the dynamics of projected climate change and socioeconomic development. In this session, we will introduce the efforts and recent progress in: 1) understanding and projecting the future changes in the climate system, in particular with the changes in mean, variation, and extremes, given different representative concentration paths (RCPs); 2) understanding and projection of the socioeconomic system, mostly the distribution of population and economic activity, and the change in vulnerability to stresses and shocks induced by changing climate, under different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs); and 3) developing models to present their interactions so as to quantify the risk, the probability of consequences in the short-to-medium future. This session invites papers and presentations focusing on the topics listed above.


Agenda

Type Details Minutes Start Time
Introduction Peijun Shi Beijing Normal University 3 8:00 AM
Presenter Peijun Shi*, Beijing Normal University, Progress in understanding the mechanisms and assessments of global change risks of population and economic systems 9 8:03 AM
Presenter Xianghui Kong*, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Aihui Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Xunqiang Bi, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Dan Wang, Institute of Atmospheric Physics,Chinese Academy of Sciences, Assessments of temperature extremes in China by using RegCM4 and WRF models 7 8:12 AM
Presenter Miaoni Gao, Beijing Normal University, Jing Yang*, Beijing Normal University, Daoyi Gong, Beijing Normal University, Peijun Shi, Beijing Normal University, Zhangang Han, Beijing Normal University, Seong-Joong Kim, Korea Polar Research Institute, Footprints of Natural Internal Variabilities in the Low-frequency Variation of Extreme High Temperature in the Northern Hemisphere 7 8:19 AM
Presenter Yuan Liu*, Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Ning Li, Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Indirect Economic Loss and Dynamic Change Assessment of Typhoon Ewiniar in Guangdong, China 7 8:26 AM
Presenter Xiaokang Hu*, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Yuan Gao, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Shiqi Li, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, An Shi, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Jing'ai Wang, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University; Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, MOE, Beijing Normal University, Study on Maize Vulnerability Curve under Different Precipitation Trends: A Case Study of the United States 7 8:33 AM
Presenter Yanshen Wu*, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Hao Guo, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Anyu Zhang, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Jing'ai Wang, School of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University; Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster, MOE, Beijing Normal University, Establishment and characteristics analysis of crop-drought vulnerability curve: a case study of European winter wheat 7 8:40 AM
Presenter Ning Li*, Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, Yuan Liu, Key Laboratory of Environmental Change and Natural Disaster of Ministry of education, Faculty of Geographical Science, Beijing Normal University, The labor disruption effect in modeling flood economic impact evaluation 7 8:47 AM
Presenter Saini Yang*, Beijing Normal University, Impact assessment model of future large-scale floods on transport system 7 8:54 AM
Presenter Guillaume Rohat*, University of Geneva, Switzerland; University of Twente, The Netherlands; NCAR, CO., Johannes Flacke, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, The Netherlands, Alessandro Dosio, European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Ispra, Italy, Hy Dao, University of Geneva, Switzerland, Martin van Maarseveen, Faculty of Geo-Information Science and Earth Observation, University of Twente, The Netherlands, Projections of human exposure to deadly heat in African cities under multiple socioeconomic and climate scenarios 7 9:01 AM
Presenter Tao Ye*, Beijing Normal University, Weihang Liu, Beijing Normal University, Jidong Wu, Beijing Normal University, Yijia Li, Beijing Normal University, Peijun Shi, Beijing Normal University, Reduced future livestock snow disaster risk in the Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau: socioeconomic development dominates the contribution 7 9:08 AM
Presenter Dandan Yu*, , Shan Li, East China Normal University, Scale of Human Thermal Sensation Using Seasonal Anchor Method: a Chinese Case Study 7 9:15 AM
Discussant Laixiang Sun University of Maryland - College Park 10 9:22 AM
Presenter Yuan Gao*, Faculty of Geographical Science, BNU, China; Department of Earth and Environment & Frederick S. Pardee Center for the Study of the Longer-Range Future, Boston University, USA, Jing'ai Wang, Faculty of Geographical Science, BNU, China, Bruce T Anderson, Department of Earth and Environment, Boston University, USA, Study on Global Maize Yield Vulnerability to Precipitation Change 7 9:32 AM

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