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Global Power in 2030: The Likely Demise of the United States as the Dominant World Power

Authors: Georges G Cravins*, University of Wisconsin-La Crosse
Topics: Political Geography, Global Change, Military Geography
Keywords: Global Power
Session Type: Paper
Presentation File: No File Uploaded


Abstract. Compelling evidence suggests that China will have the economic, financial, technological and military capacity to surpass the United States as the world's leading geopolitical power over the next two decades. In fundamental economic terms, China has already surpassed the United States in key indicators, such as capital reserves, global trade, and self-interested global investment and infrastructure development. A number of major developments over the decades – most notably the demise of the Soviet Union, and the support given to China's economic development by both governmental and private interests in the United States since the 1970s – have facilitated China's rise. The pursuance of aggressive, unyielding and inflexible U.S. global policies, especially vis a vis the Soviet Union during the Cold War, vis a vis the Russian Federation and the Muslim World today, and the increasingly factionalized nature of the United States government at the national level are all laying the ground‐work for the rise of China and the demise of the United States as the dominant global power. This research will focus on the inevitable eclipse of the United States by China by the year 2030, and will attempt to explain why and how forces in the United States are facilitating this turn of events.

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